• Introducing BBI: How We Actually Score a Bullpen

    Introducing BBI: How We Actually Score a Bullpen

    The 2023 NLDS raised a specific problem that ERA could not answer. The Dodgers finished with the best run differential in baseball that season. Arizona swept them in three games in a best-of-five, with roughly half the Dodger payroll. The first post on this site tried to explain what happened to the bullpen. Three seasons…

  • Game Notes | LAD 8, PIT 9 | June 10, 2026

    Game Notes | LAD 8, PIT 9 | June 10, 2026

    Shohei Ohtani threw 102 pitches, held a lineup nobody fears to four runs, and left with a five-run lead. The Dodgers lost anyway. Pittsburgh does that to you sometimes. Worth Remembering Ryan Ward. Bases loaded, two outs, 6th inning, up one. Grand slam to right. WPA +.264, the highest positive swing of the game. What…

  • The Ground Ball Bullpen: Built, Lost, and What It Cost the Dodgers

    The Ground Ball Bullpen: Built, Lost, and What It Cost the Dodgers

    The 2023 Dodger bullpen had a ground ball rate of .480 and a walk rate of 2.57 BB/9. Three seasons later both metrics have reversed. The Pythagorean gap is part of the cost.

  • LAD 5, LAA 13: The Seventh Inning Is the Story

    LAD 5, LAA 13: The Seventh Inning Is the Story

    The Dodgers fought back from 6-1 to trail by one in the sixth. The seventh inning undid everything. Jordan Hernandez walked the first batter. It always starts with a walk.

  • LAD 9, LAA 2: Yamamoto’s Eight Innings Look a Lot Like 2023

    LAD 9, LAA 2: Yamamoto’s Eight Innings Look a Lot Like 2023

    Yamamoto retired the Angels on 93 pitches without issuing a single walk. The 2023 Dodger bullpen averaged 2.57 BB/9 as a unit. On Saturday Yamamoto showed what that discipline looks like from one arm. The bullpen behind him has not matched it.

  • LAA @ LAD, 0-1: Freddie Freeman Says Goodnight

    LAA @ LAD, 0-1: Freddie Freeman Says Goodnight

    Max Muncy was not in the lineup tonight. Neither was Teoscar Hernandez. The Dodgers were running Santiago Espinal at third base against a left-hander in a 0-0 game through eight innings. And then Freddie Freeman hit a ball to center field in the bottom of the ninth and the whole thing was over. Some nights…

  • LAD @ ARI, 2-3: Wrobleski Did His Job. The Bullpen Did Not.

    LAD @ ARI, 2-3: Wrobleski Did His Job. The Bullpen Did Not.

    Wrobleski had not allowed a run in his last two starts coming into tonight. He kept that going for six more innings against one of the better lineups in the NL. The bullpen has now blown two of his last three outings. At some point the universe owes this man a win that actually sticks.…

  • We’re Back. And So Are They.

    We’re Back. And So Are They.

    40-22. +134 run differential through 62 games. Teams that win by accident don’t outscore their opponents by that margin. This one is for real.